The Council of Ministers of Vanuatu endorsed the Vanuatu National Energy Roadmap (NERM) in 2013 as the overarching policy framework for developing Vanuatu’s energy sector. The Government of Vanuatu undertook the first revision of the NERM between October 2015 and May 2016 to update the roadmap’s goals and targets (Updated Vanuatu National Energy Road Map 2016-2030). Recognizing the importance of energy efficiency initiatives, and their centrality to meeting the Government of Vanuatu’s vision for the energy sector, energy efficiency was a key element in the revision of the NERM, alongside the need to increase implementation of renewable energy technologies.
Within this framework, the Vanuatu Energy Demand Projections: Business as Usual (BAU) Scenario was prepared to give an analysis of energy efficiency in the key sectors of Vanuatu. The BAU report estimates energy consumption for key sectors in Vanuatu between 2015 and 2030 under a BAU scenario in order to establish a baseline and enable identification of the impacts of activities recommended in the NERM.
- Collect up-to-date data on energy consumption by end use;
- Identify energy usage data gaps;
- Analyze baseline data;
- Review the status of ongoing, planned and/or financed energy projects;
- Based on relevant assumptions, develop models and estimate energy demand projections between 2015 and 2030 for the three main forms of energy (petroleum, biomass and electricity); and
- Analyze the potential impacts of non-achievement of the NERM 2013–2020 targets on projected energy consumption.